TechFlow News, March 5: According to JIN10 Data, Morgan Stanley became the latest Wall Street brokerage on Thursday to forecast that the European Central Bank (ECB) will hold interest rates steady through 2026, citing inflation risks potentially triggered by the Middle East conflict. Previously, the Wall Street brokerage had anticipated two rate cuts by the ECB—in June and September—but now expects those cuts to be postponed until 2027. Last month, Bank of America Global Research withdrew its forecast for rate cuts in 2026. In its report, Morgan Stanley analysts stated: “Given recent energy price increases, eurozone inflation may rise above the ECB’s target level for the remainder of this year.” The analysts added: “By 2027, inflation may fall below the target again—but this depends on a swift normalization of energy markets.”
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