TechFlow News: On March 11, QCP Capital analysis noted that, amid geopolitical shocks triggered by the Iran conflict, BTC briefly dipped below $63,000 before rebounding to around $70,000, demonstrating relative resilience. Options market volatility retreated to the mid-50s, and risk reversals remain negative, indicating persistent demand for downside protection. At the macro level, equities are under pressure, U.S. Treasury yields are rising, and rate-cut expectations have been pushed back—pointing to stagflationary conditions. Regarding oil prices, Brent crude briefly surged to $120 before retreating; the IEA plans to coordinate the release of 300–400 million barrels of strategic reserves. Currently, BTC is behaving more like a liquidity-sensitive macro instrument than a high-beta risk asset. Markets are closely watching today’s U.S. CPI data, which could determine whether rate-cut expectations can be revived.
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